Preview by CBS
Odds by Paddy Power
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KICKOFF: Sunday, 4:05 ET
SURFACE: Grass
TV: CBS (Bill Macatee, Steve Beuerlein)
SERIES: 97th regular-season meeting. Chiefs lead the series 53-43, with Denver winning the one playoff meeting. The teams have split their most recent four meetings, but Denver swept the season series last year. Kansas City won this year's first meeting at Arrowhead 33-19 to break a 12-game losing streak that extended back to 2007.
PREDICTION: Denver 30-20
KEYS TO THE GAME: The offense features more spread looks now, but the Chiefs did exploit the Broncos' weak run defense with RB Larry Johnson rushing for 198 yards and a pair of scores in the first meeting. Denver is allowing 144.2 rushing yards per game, and has been beaten for 17 runs of 20-plus yards. Look for Kansas City to incorporate some misdirection in an attempt to pop a few big gainers.
Drop and heave: The Chiefs' six sacks are less than half of the next-worst pass-rushing team in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Broncos allow a sack once every 57.6 dropbacks - the third-best ratio since 1982. Translation? Rookie CBs Brandon Carr and Brandon Flowers are going to have to hold coverage on WRs Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal an awfully long time. And with rookie RB Peyton Hillis running downhill effectively, the safeties can't sell out in pass support.
Specialties: Broncos PK Matt Prater has missed a field goal in four of his past five games.
Key Injuries: Chiefs: LB Donnie Edwards (hamstring, knee) and RG Adrian Jones (ankle) are not expected to play; MLB Pat Thomas (hamstring) is uncertain. Broncos: CB Champ Bailey (groin) is uncertain; LBs Nate Webster and D.J. Williams could both return from knee injuries this week.
Need to know: Johnson has averaged 155.2 rushing yards in his past four games against Denver. ... The Broncos clinch the AFC West with a win or a loss by San Diego.
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