Predict the US election

Danny Diamond

Founder/Admin

Tomorrow (Tuesday) is Election day.

Who do you think will win tomorrow? Not who you want, but who you THINK will win.


I say Bush will win by a very small margain.

Crocker

I think Bush will slightly win (as long as he gets Florida again)

Bouchie

Man, where is Ida and Miakal to see this.

Bush wins, and I'm predicting it won't be as close as you all seem to think.

Miakal

I absolutely agree.

AudioSavior

Yes because millions of people are all of a sudden going to see things different after all this time and Bush will win big? :rollseyes

Bouchie

Tamper with my quote again, biatch. Tampering the vote is the only hope Kerry has.

Bouchie

Are you sure you watch television?

AudioSavior

Show me this huge lead Bush has.

Bouchie

I don't know how to "show" you something I watched on television yesterday. There were many "experts" interviewed on CNN and they all said the same thing; that it won't be as close as the polls show, and that Bush will win.

AudioSavior

CNN.com

National survey of likely voters also too close to call

Monday, November 1, 2004 Posted: 9:39 AM EST (1439 GMT)



(CNN) -- Likely voters surveyed in six major showdown states indicated that they are almost evenly split in their support for President Bush and Democratic Sen. John Kerry, according a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Sunday.

A separate Gallup poll of likely voters indicated a similar split nationwide, with 49 percent choosing Bush and 47 percent taking Kerry -- a virtual tie given the margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Independent candidate Ralph Nader had 1 percent.

In the battleground state polls, only in two places did a survey indicate a lead outside the margin of error. (Opinion poll figures)

Those states were Wisconsin, where Bush led by 8 points, and Minnesota, where Kerry led by 8 points.

In the other states, Bush had leads of 2 points in Iowa and 4 points in Pennsylvania. Kerry had leads of 3 points in Florida and 4 points in Ohio.

The figures were mostly the same among registered voters, except in Pennsylvania, where Kerry had a 2-point lead.

Vice President Al Gore carried both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in 2000, and no Republican candidate has won the White House without winning Ohio. (Showdown states: Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania)

Perhaps the most significant shift in the poll was in Florida, where the same survey indicated Bush ahead by 8 points among likely voters last week, though other state polls indicated a much tighter race. (Full story)

In 2000, Florida clinched the election for Bush, after a month of recounts and court challenges. (Showdown state: Florida)

Bush campaigned most of Sunday in Florida. Kerry ended his day in Florida, too, after stops in Ohio and New Hampshire.