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Originally Posted by King Sawaryn  Are you a running team or a passing team? How good is your kicker at onside kicks? What's their running game like? Who's your QB? Do you have a good play for scoring the two? More importantly am I home or away? If I'm home I kick the ball in most situations. If I'm away I think about going for two if I think my QB will handle that situation better with 3 minutes left than with no time left.
Most importantly, am I playing these games on the road or at home? At home I probably save Schilling for the 7th and pitch Clement in 6. Also, it's important to know things like the fact that Clement is historically good against the Cardinals. What's the weather for both games? Maybe it's supposed to be colder in game 7 and Schilling is a better cold weather pitcher. It's almost impossible to "play coach" because there's a million variables that have to go into every decision. |
I gave you all the info you need to know for question #2. You have exactly a 50% chance of winning Schilling-Carpenter and exactly a 50% chance of winning Clement-Marquis. You have exactly 75% chance of winning Schilling-Marquis, and exactly a 75% chance of losing Clement-Carpenter
As for question #1, none of those things really should come into play if you really think about it. When you're a coach, you have 30 seconds to make a decision. You don't have the time to weigh all those variables. And, in my opinion, it doesn't make a difference. But, for simplicity's skae, you're playing on a neutral site, you're an average 2-point team, with an average onside kicker, playing against an average defense. Every single player on both teams is average. What do you do?