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Old 10-11-2008, 04:53 AM   #1 (permalink)
Assassin™
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Can we just call this thing now?

And the 44th President of The United States of America is...

Barack Hussein Obama II

Yup, the way I see it, junior's got this thing just about wrapped up. I've known for a while it'd be him, but all the ridiculous gambles McCain has taken in the last few weeks have all but guaranteed an Obama win. McCain has no frikin clue how to run a campaign. Seemingly every new idea he comes up with to help change the tide ends up hurting him instead. A few of my conservative friends are ultra-pissed at this point because, naturally, they hate Obama, but they know McCain isn't gaining any ground and that there's not much more he can do between now and the 4th. I'm sure there must be a few 'in case of fire' tactics that his campaign has been holding back as a last resort, but I just don't see anyway for him to make any significant gains on Obama.

I usually don't put much merit into tracking polls, but the numbers are too convincing to ignore. Obama has been up about 10 points this whole week, peaking at 12 (the most distance either campaign has had from the other). But more specifically, and more importantly, Obama is doing great in just about all of the swing states. It speaks volumes that he's actually able to be competitive in states like West Virginia and North Carolina, and that he could easily pull out wins in states like Missouri or Colorado. In every mock electoral map I've seen, Obama has got about 100 more electoral votes locked up than McCain does. What all this shows is that McCain's strategy, particularly his more recent "us vs. them" tactic of framing Obama as some sort of dangerous radical--ISN'T working. That crap hasn't gotten McCain anywhere.

Of course there is a long list of other things that I think have contributed to the destruction of McCain's chances--his performances in the debates, his VP pick, Americans trusting Obama more to handle the current economic crisis--I could go on for a while. My point is that I think McCain has pretty much handed this election to Obama with how things have gone the last couple weeks. And even though I'm going to vote Obama, conservatives have every right to be angry. Obama didn't really win this election, McCain lost it.
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