| On baseballprospectus.com, they do this thing where they run a simulation of the rest of the season, and figure out each team's odds of making the playoffs, based on their "expected winning percentage" (which is based on runs scored and runs allowed), strength of schedule, adjusting for home games, etc. They run the simulation 1 million times, and they note what percentage of the time the Yankees make the playoffs, the Red Sox make the playoffs, etc.
The 62-68 Atlanta Braves currently have a better chance of making the playoffs than the 71-61 Boston Red Sox.
Oh, one more crazy thing I just read: Philadelphia has 32 games remaining. All 32 are against teams that are currently below .500 |