| Re: The MLB Playoffs crapshoot theory
Does Vegas use the same logic when they put out lines for the NFL each week?
You're right about basketball and football although in football injuries come into play more then any other sport.. Lets use Carson Palmer a couple years ago as an example.. He got hurt on the 1st play of the game against the Steelers which just happened to be a huge pass play.. How do we know the Bengals couldn't have kept that up if Palmer doesn't get rolled on? Who knows.. injuries happen..
There usually aren't upsets in basketball which makes the Mavericks/Warriors series of last year even more SHOCKING..
This whole argument over luck in baseball leaves a lot to be desired for me. I don't disagree that their postseason is more of a crapshoot than the other sports, bit I like to think that if guys like Manny and Ortiz hit like they hit in the regular season and Beckett pitches like he pitched in the regular season.. more often than not the Sox are going to be in a winning position. I don't like the 5-game series at all but over the course of 7 games when you are guaranteed at least two games in your building you have at least 4 opportunities to correct a problem.. You hve to be pretty unlucky to lose 4 games because of bloop singles IMO. |