Thread: I Am So Smart
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Old 09-04-2007, 02:10 PM   #4 (permalink)
Dr. Giganto
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Re: I Am So Smart
Baseball Prospectus currently has the chances of winning the wild card as such (figured out by running a computer simulation of the rest of the season 1 million times):

Yankees: 56.2%
Tigers: 18.1%
Mariners: 17.8%
Indians: 3.8% (The Tigers have a 9.7% chance of catching them)
Blue Jays: 1.7%
Angels 1.3% (Mariners have a 2.1% chance of catching them)
Red Sox .85% (Yankees have a .88% chance of catching them)
Twins: .23%
Athletics: .04%

The Red Sox chances of making the playoffs is currently 99.9678%
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