Freak

With that defense, I don't see any way they're as bad as last year. Looking at their schedule, none of the following would come as major upsets if the Raiders won:

Week 1 vs. Detroit
Week 3 vs. Cleveland
Week 4 @ Miami
Week 7 vs. Kansas City
Week 8 @ Tennessee
Week 9 vs. Houston
Week 11 @ Minnesota
Week 12 @ Kansas City
Week 14 @ Green Bay

To me, those are nine winnable games (not to say I'd favour them), not even considering the chance of pulling off a real upset -- and with an athletic, turnover-driven defense like that, a real upset's not beyond the realm of possibility.

I can see six wins.